CEO of Google and Alphabet, Sundar Pichai expressed his belief that while AI development is not facing a complete standstill, he expects a declaration in progress in the upcoming months. He recently was seen at ‘The New York Times’ Dealbook Summit on Wednesday last week, where he mentioned that Google is bracing itself to unveil the next generation of models, yet he foresees a slowdown in advancements next year.
He made a remark that he thinks that progress is getting harder when he looks at the upcoming year 2025, he further added, “The low-hanging fruit is gone. The Hill is steeper.”
The question of whether AI has reached a performance plateau is right now a hot topic in the industry, and some leaders such as CEO Sam Altman of OpenAI have opposed the notion.
However, several industry experts and insiders have indicated to BI that there are some major challenges in offering the new models with high-quality data. Consequently, companies are investigating some alternative strategies like boosting the reasoning capabilities of the models.
Former chief scientist at Open AI and cofounder of Safe Superintelligence, Ilya Sutskever made a statement last month to Reuters where he said that the results from scaling up pretraining models have stagnated and everyone is looking forward to the next thing.
Pichai on Wednesday expressing his confidence that the progress will be continued in 2025 stated that he does not subscribe to the wall notion fully. He explained, “When you start out quickly scaling up, you can throw more compute and you can make a lot of progress, but you definitely are going to need deeper breakthroughs as we go to the next stage. So you can perceive it as there’s a wall, or there’s some small barriers.”
He laid emphasis on the fact that the next phase of AI advancement will necessitate major breakthroughs in reasoning as well as executing sequences of actions in a reliable way.
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